TRUMP APPROVAL: 32%
MATCHING CARTER LOWS
IRAN GUNBOATS MENACE HORMUZ
SEIZE SHIPS AS 'CEASFIRE' EXTENDED
USA BLOCKADE COLLAPSES
How many times will President Trump pay Iran for the same real estate? Twice he has announced the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, and twice he has given up U.S. leverage in exchange. Yet the strait remains closed, as Iran’s regime demands more.
On April 7, Mr. Trump announced a two-week cease-fire—“subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz.” This implied that Iran hadn’t quite agreed to it yet, and two sources familiar with negotiations told me gaps remained. But Iran’s foreign minister eased concerns: “For a period of two weeks,” he wrote that evening, “safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be possible” within certain limits.
By the next morning, Mr. Trump was ebullient. “A big day for World Peace! Iran wants it to happen, they’ve had enough!” he wrote. “We’ll be loading up with supplies of all kinds.” When the Journal’s editorial board warned against declaring “premature victory,” the president was dismissive. “Actually, it is a Victory, and there’s nothing ‘premature’ about it!” he wrote on April 9. “Very quickly, you’ll see Oil start flowing,” he added. “The Wall Street Journal will, as usual, live to eat their words.”
But the oil didn’t flow. Tanker traffic declined even further. “That is not the agreement we have!” Mr. Trump would complain. This was Iran’s first swindle.
After the cease-fire, Iran’s regime insisted on a new condition: Israel would have to stop attacking Hezbollah in Lebanon before negotiations could advance. This wasn’t part of the deal, Mr. Trump replied. Hezbollah had started the war, and by smashing Iran’s most important terror proxy, Israel was adding to the pressure on the regime and thus to U.S. leverage.
Then again, pausing would be seen as an Israeli concession, politically easier for the president. “I spoke with Bibi [Netanyahu], and he’s going to low-key it,” Mr. Trump said on April 9.
April 10-11 negotiations followed in Pakistan, and the U.S. walked away when Iran resisted key nuclear concessions. Mr. Trump now needed a new way to force the regime’s hand. In the absence of military strikes, a blockade of Iran’s ports would be America’s stick; its carrot would be an Israeli cease-fire in Lebanon.
Direct Israel-Lebanon talks, previously scorned by Washington as pointless given Beirut’s inaction against Hezbollah, were arranged hastily for April 14. The spectacle could distract some from the fait accompli: To smooth U.S. negotiations, Mr. Trump had dictated that Israel give Iran the reprieve it wanted in Lebanon. This second cease-fire was announced April 16.
Iran’s foreign minister again acknowledged what had been agreed. “In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon,” he wrote on Friday, “the passage for all commercial vessels through Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open.” A day after granting the concession, however, the regime withdrew it. This was the second swindle.
On Saturday Iran’s military said the strait was closed. Approaching it “will be considered cooperation with the enemy,” the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps warned. It even attacked a few vessels. The regime says it won’t open Hormuz until the U.S. ceases blockading its ports.
This will be the Iranians’ third swindle—if Mr. Trump goes along. The regime wants the strait closed and U.S. leverage diminished for nuclear negotiations. “They can’t blackmail us,” Mr. Trump said on Sunday. But they think they can. Certainly, they are comfortable embarrassing the president. What’s stopping them from playing the same games over their stockpiles of enriched uranium?
Mr. Trump first suspended attacks on Iran, then on Hezbollah. Iran now presses him to give up U.S. economic leverage too. Sometimes, diplomacy can lock in military gains. This time, it has been set up to give them away.
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/the-iranians-take-trump-for-a-sucker-8a211f94?
Mr. Kaufman is a member of the Journal’s editorial board and a co-author of “In the War Room: The Inside Story of Israel’s Fight Against Hamas and the Iranian Axis.”


















